Germany’s senior politicians are pushing to ban all internal combustion engine cars by the year 2030. The move would see only electric and hydrogen cars being registered on the roads. They are not the only country looking to see the fuel powered cars banned; Norway has targeted 2025 as their date.
Will technology be ready?
We are still 14 years from this deadline. That is a long time in technological advancements. 14 years ago, the word smartphone didn’t exist and wireless headphones were just about to be invented. Today these devices are so advanced we assume they have been around for ever.
Advancements in cars over this time have also been staggering. In 2002 the fastest accelerating car was a Porsche 911 GT2 at 3.5 seconds to reach 100km/h. Today the Porsche 918 can record a time of 2.4 seconds. This doesn’t sound like a big improvement but at the level of modern supercars, the final tenths of a second are almost illusive. A very interesting note is that 6 of the top 8 cars in the 0-100 list are either fully electric or rely on electrical power to propel them.
Of course, while performance is impressive, economy and range will be most important if we have to use them everyday. Currently, the ‘affordable’ electric cars such as the BMW i3 and the Nissan Leaf struggle to manage 160km under normal driving conditions. The top of the line Tesla Model S can cover up to 500km on one charge even with a phenomenal 700+bhp.
With constant innovation and development, I’m sure by 2030 the electric cars will have surpassed the range of ICE cars and be very efficient charging too. Elon Musk will no undoubtedly keep pouring money into his beloved Teslas, development and top manufacturer involvement in Formula E will see new technologies make their way into production vehicles and competition will have to increase efficiency while driving down prices to the consumer.
As for Hydrogen cars; not nearly as much development has been put in to them, but they do look very promising on paper. A hydrogen fuel cell produces far more power than a battery cell. The issue with Hydrogen is that it is very difficult to store the power safely. However, with time and money, one day there will be hydrogen cars roaming the streets.
Will people be ready?
As with all change, people need time to adapt. The best way speed up the level of EVs on the road is making people want to buy them. Norway is excelling at this and is known as the electric car capital for good reason. It already has the highest number of electric cars per capita.
The government is on a mission to reach 50,000 electric vehicles as soon as possible. The 25% VAT normally placed on a new car is waived. Electric vehicles also come with privileges such as free public parking, free toll charges and free use of bus lanes. This plan will be in effect until the end of 2017 or until the goal of 50,000 is reached.
If these changes are made in other countries and prices continue to drop, people will definitely embrace the electric vehicles.